Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#132
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#106
Pace65.2#231
Improvement+0.8#132

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#177
Improvement-0.6#198

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#94
Improvement+1.5#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 299   Eastern Illinois W 79-72 91%     1 - 0 -5.2 -5.1 -0.5
  Nov 14, 2011 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 71-59 81%     2 - 0 +4.9 -1.7 +7.4
  Nov 18, 2011 201   Ball St. W 57-50 77%     3 - 0 +1.7 -9.8 +12.5
  Nov 21, 2011 176   Green Bay W 57-56 73%     4 - 0 -3.0 -13.8 +10.9
  Nov 24, 2011 220   Texas Tech W 60-49 71%     5 - 0 +7.8 -4.3 +13.4
  Nov 25, 2011 56   Minnesota L 69-76 29%     5 - 1 +1.1 +3.5 -2.7
  Nov 27, 2011 120   Fairfield W 72-66 47%     6 - 1 +9.3 +2.6 +6.6
  Dec 03, 2011 134   @ Boise St. L 65-74 37%     6 - 2 -3.3 -3.2 -0.4
  Dec 17, 2011 13   @ Vanderbilt W 61-55 9%     7 - 2 +23.4 -1.2 +25.0
  Dec 21, 2011 309   Louisiana Monroe W 50-35 93%     8 - 2 +1.1 -18.2 +23.1
  Dec 28, 2011 130   @ Drake L 64-79 37%     8 - 3 0 - 1 -9.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 31, 2011 256   Bradley W 77-66 86%     9 - 3 1 - 1 +2.0 +0.7 +1.1
  Jan 04, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa L 48-65 27%     9 - 4 1 - 2 -8.1 -17.5 +8.5
  Jan 07, 2012 97   Missouri St. L 63-69 53%     9 - 5 1 - 3 -4.4 -3.5 -1.4
  Jan 10, 2012 113   Evansville W 80-78 58%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +2.4 +5.4 -2.9
  Jan 13, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois L 67-73 58%     10 - 6 2 - 4 -5.6 -3.2 -2.6
  Jan 15, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 65-75 19%     10 - 7 2 - 5 +1.7 +2.5 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2012 101   @ Illinois St. L 54-67 29%     10 - 8 2 - 6 -4.8 -11.6 +5.8
  Jan 21, 2012 28   @ Creighton L 49-75 13%     10 - 9 2 - 7 -11.4 -20.2 +7.4
  Jan 25, 2012 89   Northern Iowa W 59-54 51%     11 - 9 3 - 7 +7.1 -0.1 +8.2
  Jan 29, 2012 113   @ Evansville W 90-81 2OT 32%     12 - 9 4 - 7 +16.2 +9.2 +6.2
  Feb 01, 2012 130   Drake W 61-54 63%     13 - 9 5 - 7 +6.1 -4.5 +11.3
  Feb 04, 2012 9   @ Wichita St. L 66-71 8%     13 - 10 5 - 8 +13.5 -0.2 +13.7
  Feb 08, 2012 256   @ Bradley L 60-68 67%     13 - 11 5 - 9 -10.2 -7.1 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 78-68 80%     14 - 11 6 - 9 +3.6 +8.3 -4.0
  Feb 14, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 83-77 OT 54%     15 - 11 7 - 9 +7.4 +8.0 -0.8
  Feb 18, 2012 129   @ Butler L 54-75 37%     15 - 12 -15.0 -14.6 +0.6
  Feb 22, 2012 97   @ Missouri St. W 59-46 28%     16 - 12 8 - 9 +21.4 -2.7 +25.4
  Feb 25, 2012 28   Creighton L 60-61 30%     16 - 13 8 - 10 +6.8 -7.5 +14.2
  Mar 01, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 66-51 70%     17 - 13 +12.0 -0.1 +13.9
  Mar 02, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 48-72 12%     17 - 14 -8.9 -17.1 +7.0
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%